Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 253.623704 286.555279 323.320737 367.628762 419.869248 479.860234 554.478366
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 204.456418 247.200254 299.262966 368.208181 458.426836 574.351713 737.724770
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 173.223796 218.264595 276.162682 357.593242 471.745086 630.169012 874.327295
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 151.556700 197.131721 258.226784 348.370848 482.033855 679.905882 1009.437103
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 141.013472 188.875693 255.592855 358.610489 519.902190 774.489480 1233.530435
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 130.189800 178.646226 248.422124 360.386053 544.104218 850.974818 1445.740509
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 119.104847 166.704404 237.107975 353.772024 552.994720 902.514357 1625.006649
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 111.457848 158.997991 231.159363 354.562773 573.820811 978.112835 1871.686331
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 103.048432 149.307444 221.036960 346.959827 578.309360 1023.516518 2067.236725
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.879211 142.536352 214.842058 345.148148 592.805995 1090.829039 2333.181295
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 88.773594 132.044256 201.612889 329.381939 578.302821 1095.442307 2447.541309
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 86.718358 131.139021 204.217415 342.395319 622.162422 1234.100233 2960.489796
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 85.156660 131.030056 208.350129 359.158756 677.504220 1414.617015 3682.649307
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 81.006390 126.256869 203.917517 358.975333 696.886967 1514.762397 4212.741618
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.800534 119.292219 194.960888 348.759135 692.253246 1552.952562 4555.003176
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 71.251810 113.169021 187.053634 339.816178 689.199859 1594.912545 4935.446662
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 69.596248 112.016294 188.211361 349.739333 732.373652 1776.206820 5972.753707
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 67.021994 109.034664 185.661119 351.459637 755.794795 1907.279132 6896.655299
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 63.681300 104.449662 179.682220 345.050913 757.566169 1972.905131 7568.448428
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 61.416580 101.699293 177.060806 345.817168 778.259408 2105.520778 8692.832119
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 58.425741 97.425499 171.126210 338.449144 775.924390 2160.901485 9447.552210
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.235316 94.533755 167.760007 336.693251 788.940112 2274.498772 10666.886560
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 52.814600 89.136653 158.985023 321.409336 761.379940 2233.705364 10861.086242